World Cup 
Match Events
- 11' 🟨 M. Arnautovic · Yellow Card
- 28' ⚽ M. Arnautovic D. Alaba
- 45' ⚽ R. Belghali
- 46' 🔄 X. Schlager F. Grillitsch · Substitution 1
- 46' 🔄 R. Schmid P. Wanner · Substitution 2
- 46' 🔄 M. Arnautovic M. Gregoritsch · Substitution 3
- 55' ⚽ M. Sabitzer K. Laimer
- 60' ⚽ R. Mahrez H. Aouar
- 62' 🔄 D. Alaba K. Danso · Substitution 4
- 71' 🔄 J. Hadjam R. Ait-Nouri · Substitution 1
- 71' 🔄 R. Belghali S. Chergui · Substitution 2
- 71' 🔄 A. Gouiri Z. Belaid · Substitution 3
- 90+4' 🔄 H. Aouar F. Ghedjemis · Substitution 4
- 90+5' 🔄 P. Mwene S. Kalajdzic · Substitution 5
- 90' ⚽ R. Mahrez H. Aouar
- 90' ⚽ S. Kalajdzic M. Gregoritsch
Lineups
Algeria
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
- 16 O. Benbot G
- 17 R. Belghali D
- 2 A. Mandi D
- 21 R. Bensebaini D
- 13 J. Hadjam D
- 10 F. Chaibi M
- 19 N. Bentaleb M
- 7 R. Mahrez F
- 22 I. Maza M
- 8 H. Aouar M
- 9 A. Gouiri F
Substitutes
- 23 L. Zidane G
- 1 M. Mastil G
- 15 R. Ait-Nouri D
- 6 R. Zerrouki M
- 14 H. Boudaoui M
- 26 S. Chergui D
- 24 Y. Titraoui M
- 20 A. Boulbina M
- 25 F. Ghedjemis F
- 4 M. Tougai D
- 5 Z. Belaid D
- 12 N. Benbouali F
- 3 A. Abada D
- 11 A. Hadj Moussa F
Austria
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
- 1 A. Schlager G
- 5 S. Posch D
- 15 P. Lienhart D
- 8 D. Alaba D
- 16 P. Mwene D
- 6 N. Seiwald M
- 4 X. Schlager M
- 20 K. Laimer M
- 18 R. Schmid M
- 9 M. Sabitzer M
- 7 M. Arnautovic F
Substitutes
- 13 P. Pentz G
- 12 F. Wiegele G
- 10 F. Grillitsch M
- 19 D. Ljubicic M
- 14 S. Kalajdzic F
- 25 M. Svoboda D
- 22 A. Prass D
- 2 D. Affengruber D
- 24 P. Wanner M
- 11 M. Gregoritsch F
- 26 A. Schopf M
- 3 K. Danso D
- 23 M. Friedl D
- 21 P. Wimmer F
- 17 C. Chukwuemeka M
Statistics
The Stakes
A straight shootout for second behind already-qualified Argentina. Both are on three points: Austria (2nd, GD 0; 3:1 Jordan, 0:2 Argentina) and Algeria (3rd, GD −2; 0:3 Argentina, 2:1 Jordan). A win sends either through; crucially, Austria’s better goal difference means a draw likely suffices for them but eliminates Algeria. Effectively must-win for Algeria. Both have Bundesliga/European quality.
Key Points
- Algeria must win: their −2 GD leaves no safety net — they cannot sit back, which opens space for Austria’s counter.
- Austria’s draw cushion: a level GD edge means a point likely does it; expect them to control tempo and frustrate.
- Key men: Mahrez & Amoura/Gouiri for Algeria’s creativity; Arnautović & Sabitzer plus the Laimer/Seiwald press for Austria.
- Midfield battle decides it: if Austria’s press wins the middle, their delivery to Arnautović is dangerous against an Algeria defence that shipped three to Argentina.
Prediction & Probabilities
| Outcome | Typical odds | Implied (no-vig) | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austria win | +188 (2.88) | ~34% | 35% |
| Draw | +125 (2.25) | ~30% | 30% |
| Algeria win | +200 (3.00) | ~36% | 35% |
Verdict: a tense, finely balanced decider. Algeria’s need to attack could open the game for Austria’s counter, but it’s close. Headline call: Austria 1-1 Algeria → leaning a narrow Austria edge (1-0/2-1)
Bets to Note
- Austria draw no bet — their GD cushion and counter-attacking suit a tense decider.
- Under 3 goals — two cautious-but-needy sides; a tight, low-scoring game.
- Marko Arnautović anytime scorer — Austria’s proven finisher in a must-deliver game.
- Riyad Mahrez anytime / assist — Algeria’s match-winner if they’re to force it.
Odds are indicative (early June 2026) and move constantly — confirm live prices with a licensed operator before betting. For information/entertainment only; not betting advice. 18+ (21+ in some US jurisdictions). Betting involves risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting you or someone you know, seek support (e.g. 1-800-GAMBLER in the US, BeGambleAware.org in the UK).
Prediction & Odds
💡 Tip: Double chance : draw or Austria
