Jordan vs Argentina — World Cup 2026 Group J, 28 June 2026: Prediction, Odds & Key Bets
World Cup
· Group Stage - 3
·
· 🏟 AT&T Stadium, Arlington 
Match Events
- 17' 🟨 M. Abu Taha · Yellow Card
- 19' ⚽ G. Lo Celso
- 31' ⚽️ L. Martinez · Penalty
- 46' 🔄 O. Al Fakhouri M. Al Mardi · Substitution 1
- 46' 🔄 A. Azaizeh M. Tamari · Substitution 2
- 55' ⚽ M. Tamari E. Haddad
- 60' 🔄 L. Martinez L. Messi · Substitution 1
- 60' 🔄 G. Lo Celso T. Almada · Substitution 2
- 61' 🔄 N. Paz A. Mac Allister · Substitution 3
- 64' 🟨 Y. Al Arab · Yellow Card
- 71' 🔄 G. Simeone V. Barco · Substitution 4
- 76' 🔄 N. Al Rashdan A. Jamous · Substitution 3
- 80' ⚽ L. Messi
- 82' 🔄 J. Alvarez J. Lopez · Substitution 5
- 90+4' 🟨 Shararh · Yellow Card
- 90' 🔄 H. Abu Dahab S. Obaid · Substitution 4
- 90' 🔄 A. Olwan Shararh · Substitution 5
Lineups
Jordan
3-4-3
Starting XI
- 1 Y. Abulaila G
- 3 A. Nasib D
- 5 Y. Al Arab D
- 4 H. Abu Dahab D
- 23 E. Haddad M
- 21 N. Al Rashdan M
- 8 N. Al Rawabdeh M
- 20 M. Abu Taha D
- 24 A. Azaizeh F
- 11 O. Al Fakhouri F
- 9 A. Olwan F
Substitutes
- 12 N. Bani Attiah G
- 22 A. Al Fakhouri G
- 14 R. Ayed M
- 25 M. Al Daoud M
- 17 S. Obaid D
- 15 I. Saadeh M
- 19 S. Al Rosan D
- 2 M. Abu Hasheesh D
- 13 M. Al Mardi F
- 10 M. Tamari F
- 16 M. Abualnadi D
- 6 A. Jamous M
- 7 Shararh F
- 26 A. Badawi D
- 18 M. Abu Ghoush D
Argentina
4-4-2
Starting XI
- 23 E. Martinez G
- 14 E. Palacios M
- 19 N. Otamendi D
- 2 M. Senesi D
- 3 N. Tagliafico D
- 17 G. Simeone F
- 18 N. Paz M
- 5 L. Paredes M
- 11 G. Lo Celso M
- 22 L. Martinez F
- 9 J. Alvarez F
Substitutes
- 12 G. Rulli G
- 1 J. Musso G
- 10 L. Messi F
- 7 R. de Paul M
- 4 G. Montiel D
- 15 N. Gonzalez F
- 26 N. Molina D
- 20 A. Mac Allister M
- 13 C. Romero D
- 6 L. Martinez D
- 25 F. Medina D
- 16 T. Almada F
- 24 E. Fernandez M
- 21 J. Lopez F
- 8 V. Barco M
Statistics
The Stakes
Holders Argentina (1st, 6 pts) have already topped the group and look to finish with a clean sweep; Scaloni may rotate and manage minutes for the knockouts. Jordan (4th, 0 pts) are eliminated after losing to Austria and Algeria on their World Cup debut, playing for pride. Messi — now the all-time World Cup top scorer (18 goals) after his Austria double — may feature but could be rested.
Key Points
- Argentina rotation likely: with top spot secured, Scaloni may rest Messi and other key men — narrows the margin but the depth (Julián Álvarez, Lautaro, etc.) is elite.
- Messi watch: if he starts/comes on, the all-time WC top scorer is a strong anytime pick; if rested, the squad still dominates.
- Jordan’s debut ends: eliminated and outclassed, but organised — they’ll defend deep and chase a consolation.
- Quality gulf: Argentina should win comfortably even rotated.
Prediction & Probabilities
| Outcome | Typical odds | Implied (no-vig) | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina win | −500 (1.20) | ~80% | 80% |
| Draw | +450 (5.50) | ~13% | 13% |
| Jordan win | +1100 (12.0) | ~7% | 7% |
Verdict: a comfortable Argentina win even with rotation, against an eliminated Jordan. Headline call: Argentina 2-0 (or 3-0)
Bets to Note
- Argentina to win — vast quality gap; clean sweep on the cards.
- Argentina −1.5 handicap — they should win by a margin even rotated.
- Lionel Messi anytime scorer — if he starts/features, the all-time WC top scorer is prime value.
- Julián Álvarez / Lautaro Martínez anytime — likely scorers if Messi is rested.
Odds are indicative (early June 2026) and move constantly — confirm live prices with a licensed operator before betting. For information/entertainment only; not betting advice. 18+ (21+ in some US jurisdictions). Betting involves risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting you or someone you know, seek support (e.g. 1-800-GAMBLER in the US, BeGambleAware.org in the UK).
Prediction & Odds
💡 Tip: Winner : Argentina
