DR Congo vs Uzbekistan — World Cup 2026 Group K, 27 June 2026: Prediction, Odds & Key Bets

World Cup · Group Stage - 3 · 27 June 2026, 23:30 · 🏟 Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta

Congo DR Winner

3 : 1

Finished

Uzbekistan

👨‍⚖️ Referee: Felix Zwayer, Germany

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Match Events

10' ⚽ E. Shomurodov A. Mozgovoy
18' 📺 Nathanaël Mbuku · Goal cancelled
21' 🟨 Noah Sadiki · Yellow Card
43' 🟨 Abdukodir Khusanov · Yellow Card
45+5' 🟨 Nathanaël Mbuku · Yellow Card
48' 🟨 Sherzod Nasrullaev · Yellow Card
51' 🔄 C. Bakambu F. Mayele · Substitution 1
59' 🔄 O. Shukurov O. Khamrobekov · Substitution 1
59' 🔄 D. Khamdamov A. Ganiev · Substitution 2
62' 🟨 Samuel Moutoussamy · Yellow Card
68' ⚽️ Y. Wissa · Penalty
72' 🔄 B. Cipenga T. Bongonda · Substitution 2
72' 🔄 N. Mbuku M. Elia · Substitution 3
72' 🔄 S. Moutoussamy N. Mukau · Substitution 4
73' 🔄 A. Fayzullaev O. Urunov · Substitution 3
78' ⚽ F. Mayele
82' 🔄 J. Urozov I. Sergeev · Substitution 4
82' 🔄 A. Mozgovoy J. Iskanderov · Substitution 5
83' 🔄 A. Masuaku J. Kayembe · Substitution 5
90' ⚽ Y. Wissa M. Elia

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Lineups

Congo DR 4-4-2

Starting XI

1 L. Mpasi-Nzau G
2 A. Wan-Bissaka D
22 C. Mbemba D
4 A. Tuanzebe D
26 A. Masuaku D
7 N. Mbuku M
8 S. Moutoussamy M
14 N. Sadiki M
9 B. Cipenga M
17 C. Bakambu F
20 Y. Wissa F

Substitutes

21 M. Epolo G
16 T. Fayulu G
12 J. Kayembe D
18 C. Pickel M
24 G. Kalulu D
23 S. Banza F
25 E. Kayembe M
19 F. Mayele F
3 S. Kapuadi D
11 G. Kakuta M
5 D. Batubinsika D
10 T. Bongonda M
15 A. Tshibola M
13 M. Elia F
6 N. Mukau M

👨‍🏫 Coach: Sebastien Desabre

Uzbekistan 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

12 A. Nematov G
5 R. Ashurmatov D
2 A. Khusanov D
26 J. Urozov D
3 K. Alizhonov M
6 A. Mozgovoy M
7 O. Shukurov M
13 S. Nasrullaev M
17 D. Khamdamov F
22 A. Fayzullaev F
14 E. Shomurodov F

Substitutes

1 U. Yusupov G
16 B. Ergashev G
21 I. Sergeev F
8 J. Iskanderov M
25 A. Ulmasaliev D
18 A. Abdullaev M
24 B. Karimov D
9 O. Khamrobekov M
19 A. Ganiev M
15 U. Eshmurodov D
11 O. Urunov M
20 A. Amonov F
10 R. Jiyanov M
23 S. Esanov M
4 F. Sayfiev

👨‍🏫 Coach: Fabio Cannavaro

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Statistics

Congo DR Uzbekistan

Shots on Goal

Shots off Goal

Total Shots

Blocked Shots

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

Fouls

Corner Kicks

Offsides

58%

Ball Possession

42%

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

485

Total Passes

355

400

Accurate Passes

269

82%

Pass Accuracy

76%

2.18

expected_goals

0.20

-0.65

goals_prevented

-0.65

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The Stakes

Two debutant-level sides chasing a slim lifeline. DR Congo (3rd, 1 pt) drew with Portugal (Wissa’s historic goal) and lost 1:0 to Colombia; Uzbekistan (4th, 0 pts) lost 3:1 to Colombia and were thrashed 5:0 by Portugal. Realistically only a big win keeps either alive for a best-third-placed spot — long odds for both. A genuine knockout for the Leopards; pride and a first points for Uzbekistan.

Key Points

DR Congo’s edge: a point already, organised under Sébastien Desabre, Wissa a real threat — they’re the likelier winner.
Uzbekistan’s profile: defensively solid in qualifying but blown away by Portugal; Fayzullaev their spark, chasing a first World Cup win.
Goal difference matters: both need a margin, not just a win, for any third-place hope — expect an open game.
First-ever meeting: no head-to-head; DR Congo’s tournament showing gives them the edge.

Prediction & Probabilities

Outcome	Typical odds	Implied (no-vig)	Our model
DR Congo win	+105 (2.05)	~44%	44%
Draw	+220 (3.20)	~28%	28%
Uzbekistan win	+210 (3.10)	~28%	28%

Verdict: a tight, evenly matched game with DR Congo’s organisation and Wissa giving them a slight edge as both chase goals. Headline call: DR Congo 1-0 (or 2-1)

Bets to Note

DR Congo to win — the better tournament showing and a real goal threat in Wissa.
Both teams to score — both must chase a margin, leaving space at each end.
Yoane Wissa anytime scorer — DR Congo’s historic scorer and main outlet.
Over 2.5 goals a lean — two sides needing a margin should open up.

Odds are indicative (early June 2026) and move constantly — confirm live prices with a licensed operator before betting. For information/entertainment only; not betting advice. 18+ (21+ in some US jurisdictions). Betting involves risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting you or someone you know, seek support (e.g. 1-800-GAMBLER in the US, BeGambleAware.org in the UK).

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Prediction & Odds

Congo DR 45%

Draw 45%

Uzbekistan 10%

💡 Tip: Double chance : Congo DR or draw

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Tournament Situation

Group K

#	Team	P	Pts	±	Form
1	Colombia	3	7	+3	L W D W W
2	Portugal	3	5	+5	L W D W D
3	Congo DR	3	4	+1	L W L D
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	-9	L L L

All group matches have been played.

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