World Cup 
Match Events
- 5' ⚽ M. Saber Trezeguet
- 11' ⚽️ Mehdi Taremi · Missed Penalty
- 14' 🔄 M. Abdelmonem Y. Ibrahim · Substitution 1
- 14' ⚽ R. Rezaeian
- 19' 🟨 Hossein Kanaani · Yellow Card
- 20' 🟨 Mahmoud Saber · Yellow Card
- 42' 🟨 Yasser Ibrahim · Yellow Card
- 43' 🟨 Ali Nemati · Yellow Card
- 46' 🔄 E. Ashour O. Marmoush · Substitution 2
- 46' 🔄 M. Saber M. Attia · Substitution 3
- 46' 🔄 H. Kanaani S. Hardani · Substitution 1
- 57' 🔄 M. Salah Zizo · Substitution 4
- 67' 🔄 S. Ghoddos S. Moghanlou · Substitution 2
- 76' 🔄 M. Ziko H. Abdelkarim · Substitution 5
- 79' 🟨 Saeid Ezatolahi · Yellow Card
- 90+2' 🟨 Mohanad Lasheen · Yellow Card
- 90+4' 🟨 Shoja Khalilzadeh · Yellow Card
- 90+6' 📺 Shoja Khalilzadeh · Goal cancelled
- 90+1' 🔄 M. Mohebi A. Jahanbakhsh · Substitution 3
Lineups
Egypt
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
- 23 M. Shobeir G
- 3 M. Hany D
- 5 R. Rabia D
- 6 M. Abdelmonem D
- 13 A. Fatouh D
- 17 M. Lasheen M
- 21 M. Saber M
- 8 E. Ashour M
- 10 M. Salah M
- 7 Trezeguet M
- 11 M. Ziko F
Substitutes
- 26 M. Alaa
- 1 M. El Shenawy G
- 16 E. M. Soliman G
- 20 I. Adel F
- 24 T. Alaa D
- 9 H. Abdelkarim F
- 2 Y. Ibrahim D
- 25 Zizo F
- 15 K. Hafez D
- 22 O. Marmoush F
- 18 N. Dunga M
- 12 H. Hassan F
- 19 M. Attia M
Iran
5-4-1
Starting XI
- 1 A. Beiranvand G
- 23 R. Rezaeian D
- 13 H. Kanaani D
- 4 S. Khalilzadeh D
- 19 A. Nemati
- 5 M. Mohammadi D
- 14 S. Ghoddos M
- 21 M. Ghorbani M
- 6 S. Ezatolahi M
- 8 M. Mohebi M
- 9 M. Taremi F
Substitutes
- 22 H. Hosseini G
- 12 P. Niazmand G
- 3 E. Hajsafi D
- 16 M. Torabi M
- 24 D. Eckert F
- 10 M. Ghaedi F
- 20 S. Moghanlou F
- 18 A. Hosseinzadeh F
- 2 S. Hardani D
- 26 A. Razzaghinia M
- 7 A. Jahanbakhsh F
- 11 A. Alipour F
- 15 R. Cheshmi M
- 17 A. Yousefi D
- 25 D. Eiri
Statistics
The Stakes
Egypt (1st, 4 pts) can reach the knockout rounds for the first time in their modern history — a draw guarantees first place (barring a heavy Belgium win over New Zealand). Iran (2nd/joint, 2 pts) are unbeaten but goalless-shy in results and must win to be sure, with Belgium running simultaneously. Salah-led Egypt have the firepower; Iran are organised and stubborn but blunt. Note: Hajsafi suspended for Iran.
Key Points
- Salah the difference: Egypt’s creative heartbeat (1 goal, 2 assists), takes the penalties — the most likely match-winner.
- Iran’s low block: two clean-sheet draws (0:0 Belgium, even with NZ), Beiranvand in form — hard to break, but they’ve yet to score.
- Asymmetry: a draw sends Egypt through; Iran must chase, opening space for Egypt’s pace (Marmoush).
- Hajsafi out (suspended): chips at Iran’s defensive structure.
Prediction & Probabilities
| Outcome | Typical odds | Implied (no-vig) | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Egypt win | +140 (2.40) | ~40% | 41% |
| Draw | +175 (2.75) | ~35% | 35% |
| Iran win | +260 (3.60) | ~25% | 24% |
Verdict: the draw is enough for Egypt and carries real weight, but Salah’s quality could decide a cagey game. Likely tight and low-scoring. Headline call: Egypt 1-0 (or 1-1 draw — enough for Egypt)
Bets to Note
- Mohamed Salah anytime scorer — Egypt’s load-bearing threat and penalty taker.
- Under 2.5 goals — Iran’s defensive block and a draw-friendly setup for Egypt.
- Egypt or draw (double chance) — captures their qualification edge.
- Egypt over 4.5 corners — they had 11 corners across two games vs Iran’s deep block.
Odds are indicative (early June 2026) and move constantly — confirm live prices with a licensed operator before betting. For information/entertainment only; not betting advice. This is a sensitive fixture off the pitch; we focus only on the football. 18+ (21+ in some US jurisdictions). Betting involves risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting you or someone you know, seek support (e.g. 1-800-GAMBLER in the US, BeGambleAware.org in the UK).
Prediction & Odds
💡 Tip: Double chance : Egypt or draw
Tournament Situation
Group G
| # | Team | P | Pts | ± | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Belgium
|
3 | 5 | +4 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
| 2 |
Egypt
|
3 | 5 | +2 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
| 3 |
Iran
|
3 | 3 | 0 |
D
D
D
|
| 4 |
New Zealand
|
3 | 1 | -6 |
L
L
D
|
All group matches have been played.