New Zealand vs Belgium — World Cup 2026 Group G, 27 June 2026: Prediction, Odds & Key Bets

World Cup · Group Stage - 3 · 27 June 2026, 03:00 · 🏟 BC Place, Vancouver

New Zealand

1 : 5

Finished

Belgium Winner

👨‍⚖️ Referee: Adham Mohammad, Jordan

Place a Bet Haz tu Apuesta Win Big Gana en Grande Live Odds Cuotas en Vivo Try Your Luck Prueba tu Suerte World Cup Bets Apuestas Mundialistas Bet on Football Apuesta por Fútbol

Match Events

21' 📺 Leandro Trossard · Penalty cancelled
21' ⚽
28' ⚽ L. Trossard
46' 🟨 Marko Stamenić · Yellow Card
46' 🔄 R. Thomas B. Old · Substitution 1
46' 🔄 S. Singh J. Randall · Substitution 2
50' ⚽ L. Trossard H. Vanaken
56' 🟨 Elijah Just · Yellow Card
56' 🔄 J. Doku M. Fernandez-Pardo · Substitution 1
64' 🔄 T. Payne M. Boxall · Substitution 3
64' 🔄 J. Bell C. McCowatt · Substitution 4
66' ⚽ K. De Bruyne
72' 🔄 L. Trossard A. Saelemaekers · Substitution 2
72' 🔄 K. De Bruyne A. Onana · Substitution 3
79' 🔄 L. Cacace F. De Vries · Substitution 5
84' ⚽ E. Just
85' 🔄 C. De Ketelaere R. Lukaku · Substitution 4
85' 🔄 Y. Tielemans N. Raskin · Substitution 5
86' ⚽ R. Lukaku N. Raskin
90' ⚽ A. Saelemaekers R. Lukaku

MAKE A BET

Lineups

Belgium 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

1 T. Courtois G
21 T. Castagne D
4 B. Mechele D
3 A. Theate D
5 M. De Cuyper D
8 Y. Tielemans M
20 H. Vanaken M
11 J. Doku M
7 K. De Bruyne M
10 L. Trossard M
17 C. De Ketelaere F

Substitutes

12 S. Lammens G
13 M. Penders G
6 A. Witsel M
9 R. Lukaku F
22 A. Saelemaekers F
23 N. Raskin M
24 A. Onana M
26 M. Fernandez-Pardo F
19 D. Moreira F
15 T. Meunier D
14 D. Lukebakio F
16 K. De Winter D
18 J. Seys D

👨‍🏫 Coach: Rudi Garcia

New Zealand

Starting XI

1 M. Crocombe G
2 T. Payne D
16 F. Surman D
4 T. Bindon D
13 L. Cacace D
6 J. Bell M
8 M. Stamenic M
10 S. Singh M
23 R. Thomas M
11 E. Just M
9 C. Wood F

Substitutes

22 M. Woud G
12 A. Paulsen G
26 T. Smith D
5 M. Boxall D
20 C. McCowatt M
18 B. Waine F
19 B. Old F
21 J. Randall F
25 L. Bayliss M
17 K. Barbarouses F
14 A. Rufer M
7 L. Rogerson F
3 F. De Vries D
24 C. Elliot D
15 N. Pijnaker D

MAKE A BET

Statistics

New Zealand Belgium

Shots on Goal

Shots off Goal

Total Shots

Blocked Shots

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

Fouls

Corner Kicks

Offsides

46%

Ball Possession

54%

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

436

Total Passes

525

369

Accurate Passes

462

85%

Pass Accuracy

88%

0.24

expected_goals

3.64

-0.77

goals_prevented

-0.77

MAKE A BET

The Stakes

Belgium (2nd/joint, 2 pts) must win to be sure of advancing after a 1:1 with Egypt and a frustrating 0:0 with Iran — even after Iran went down to ten men, they couldn’t break through. New Zealand (4th, 1 pt) are all but out (2:2 Iran, 1:3 Egypt) but can play spoiler. De Bruyne-led Belgium have the quality; the All Whites are physical and organised. Belgium are heavy favourites but have underwhelmed.

Key Points

Belgium must win: a draw likely isn’t enough with Egypt favoured to take a point off Iran — no more cautious draws.
Underperforming Red Devils: two goals total, wasteful (couldn’t beat 10-man Iran) — quality is there (De Bruyne, Doku, Lukaku) but end product has lagged.
New Zealand’s threat: Chris Wood up top, physical and set-piece dangerous; nothing to lose.
Open game likely: Belgium chasing goals leaves space; expect them to dominate the ball.

Prediction & Probabilities

Outcome	Typical odds	Implied (no-vig)	Our model
Belgium win	−275 (1.36)	~68%	67%
Draw	+320 (4.20)	~20%	20%
New Zealand win	+550 (6.50)	~13%	13%

Verdict: Belgium’s quality and must-win urgency should finally produce a comfortable margin against a limited New Zealand. Headline call: Belgium 2-0 (or 3-1)

Bets to Note

Belgium to win — far superior squad, finally motivated to attack.
Belgium −1.5 handicap — they need a margin and NZ are limited.
Over 2.5 goals — Belgium chasing, NZ stretched late.
Kevin De Bruyne anytime / assist — Belgium’s chief creator to unlock it.

Odds are indicative (early June 2026) and move constantly — confirm live prices with a licensed operator before betting. For information/entertainment only; not betting advice. 18+ (19+ in most of Canada, 21+ in some US jurisdictions). Betting involves risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting you or someone you know, seek support (e.g. ConnexOntario in Canada, BeGambleAware.org in the UK).

MAKE A BET

Prediction & Odds

New Zealand 10%

Draw 45%

Belgium 45%

💡 Tip: Double chance : draw or Belgium

MAKE A BET

Tournament Situation

Group G

#	Team	P	Pts	±	Form
1	Belgium	3	5	+4	L W W W D
2	Egypt	3	5	+2	L W D W D
3	Iran	3	3	0	D D D
4	New Zealand	3	1	-6	L L D

All group matches have been played.

MAKE A BET

Head to Head

08.10.2020 Belgium 0 : 0 New Zealand Friendlies