World Cup 
Match Events
- 32' 🟨 Isak Hien · Yellow Card
- 37' 🔄 I. Hien L. Bergvall · Substitution 1
- 39' 🔄 K. Itakura S. Taniguchi · Substitution 1
- 56' ⚽ D. Maeda R. Doan
- 62' ⚽ A. Elanga V. Gyokeres
- 66' 🔄 A. Ueda K. Ogawa · Substitution 2
- 67' 🔄 R. Doan J. Ito · Substitution 3
- 75' 🔄 K. Nakamura Y. Nagatomo · Substitution 4
- 75' 🔄 A. Seko T. Watanabe · Substitution 5
- 75' 🔄 E. Stroud K. Sema · Substitution 2
- 75' 🔄 A. Bernhardsson D. Svensson · Substitution 3
- 77' 🟨 Shogo Taniguchi · Yellow Card
- 85' 🟨 Viktor Gyökeres · Yellow Card
- 87' 🔄 V. Lindelof C. Starfelt · Substitution 4
- 88' 🔄 G. Gudmundsson B. Nygren · Substitution 5
Lineups
Japan
3-4-2-1
Starting XI
- 1 Z. Suzuki G
- 20 A. Seko D
- 4 K. Itakura D
- 21 H. Ito D
- 2 Y. Sugawara M
- 7 A. Tanaka M
- 15 D. Kamada M
- 13 K. Nakamura M
- 10 R. Doan F
- 11 D. Maeda F
- 18 A. Ueda F
Substitutes
- 12 K. Osako G
- 23 T. Hayakawa G
- 5 Y. Nagatomo D
- 22 T. Tomiyasu D
- 6 S. Machino F
- 17 Y. Suzuki M
- 25 J. Suzuki D
- 9 K. Goto F
- 3 S. Taniguchi D
- 14 J. Ito F
- 19 K. Ogawa F
- 24 K. Sano M
- 16 T. Watanabe D
- 26 K. Shiogai F
Sweden
3-4-3
Starting XI
- 1 J. Widell Zetterstrom G
- 2 G. Lagerbielke D
- 4 I. Hien D
- 5 G. Gudmundsson D
- 21 A. Bernhardsson M
- 3 V. Lindelof M
- 18 Y. Ayari M
- 24 E. Stroud M
- 11 A. Elanga F
- 17 V. Gyökeres F
- 9 A. Isak F
Substitutes
- 23 K. Nordfeldt G
- 12 V. Johansson G
- 15 C. Starfelt D
- 25 G. Nilsson F
- 19 M. Svanberg M
- 10 B. Nygren F
- 6 H. Johansson M
- 26 T. Ali M
- 13 K. Sema M
- 16 J. Karlstrom M
- 20 E. Smith D
- 14 H. Ekdal D
- 8 D. Svensson D
- 7 L. Bergvall M
- 22 B. Zeneli M
Statistics
The Stakes
Effectively a battle for second behind the Netherlands. Japan (2nd, 4 pts, +4) hold a 2-2 draw with the Dutch and a 4-0 win over Tunisia; a win seals qualification and possibly top spot. Sweden (3rd, 3 pts) must win to control their own fate — a draw could still squeak them through as a best third-placed side, but defeat ends it. Japan can afford a draw; that asymmetry suits them.
Key Points
- Japan’s structure: conceded just twice, cohesive, dangerous on the counter (Kubo, Doan) — they punish exactly the lapses the Dutch exposed in Sweden.
- Sweden’s split form: 5-1 over Tunisia then 5-1 thrashed by Netherlands — fragile defence, must attack here.
- Firepower: Gyökeres & Isak give Sweden real threat, but rely on service; isolated when Japan compress space.
- Goal-difference angle: Japan may chase goals to overtake the Dutch for top spot.
Prediction & Probabilities
| Outcome | Typical odds | Implied (no-vig) | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Japan win | −105 (1.95) | ~48% | 48% |
| Draw | +250 (3.50) | ~26% | 26% |
| Sweden win | +320 (4.20) | ~26% | 26% |
Verdict: Japan’s structure and situational edge should see them through, with goals likely as Sweden chase. Headline call: Japan 2-1
Bets to Note
- Japan to win — better form, defence and the comfort of needing only a point.
- Over 2.5 goals — Sweden must attack and leak goals; Japan clinical on the break.
- Japan win & over 1.5 Japan goals — they may run up the score chasing the Dutch on GD.
- Viktor Gyökeres anytime scorer — Sweden’s main threat if they get service.
Odds are indicative (early June 2026) and move constantly — confirm live prices with a licensed operator before betting. For information/entertainment only; not betting advice. 18+ (21+ in some US jurisdictions). Betting involves risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting you or someone you know, seek support (e.g. 1-800-GAMBLER in the US, BeGambleAware.org in the UK).
Prediction & Odds
💡 Tip: Combo Double chance : Japan or draw and +2.5 goals
Tournament Situation
Group F
| # | Team | P | Pts | ± | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Netherlands
|
3 | 7 | +6 |
L
W
W
D
|
| 2 |
Japan
|
3 | 5 | +4 |
L
D
W
D
|
| 3 |
Sweden
|
3 | 4 | 0 |
L
D
L
W
|
| 4 |
Tunisia
|
3 | 0 | -10 |
L
L
L
|
All group matches have been played.